This Ex-Quant Had to Quit Wall Street to Build a 24/7 Stock Exchange | QFEX, Annanay Kapila
Annanay Kapila ran trading strategies that moved $10 billion a day, roughly the GDP of France. He walked away from it all to build QFEX, the 24/7 global stock exchange he always wished existed.
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Intro
- 00:00I've worked as a quant in high frequency
- 00:01trading $10 to hundred billion dollars a
- 00:03day just you know the strategies that I
- 00:05was responsible for $10 billion a day is
- 00:08roughly the GDP of France I was earning
- 00:10big fat paychecks as well but I felt
- 00:13that I was wasting my life high
- 00:14frequency trading is all about
- 00:16exploiting market inefficiencies I saw
- 00:18how much money we were making due to
- 00:20simple structural design flaws in
- 00:21existing markets people in trading just
- 00:23want to make money so they can earn big
- 00:25bonuses right I'm an founder and CEO of
- 00:27QFX I used to work in the quan finance
- 00:30sector before I realized a lot of
- 00:32financial markets infrastructure is
- 00:33broken and now we're building the next
- 00:3524/7 global stock exchange which is
- 00:37going to revolutionize trading we had
- 00:40two major funds one was general catalyst
- 00:42one was next venture partners round
- 00:43collision 95 million valuation we
- 00:45weren't making any revenues who were
- 00:46pre-revenue raised 95 million valuation
- 00:49the only point in raising venture money
- 00:51is if you can be massive right like
- 00:53truly massive then a VC will find it
- 00:55very hard to say Uh,
- 01:06you know, certainly a lot of people in
Money is Killing the Best Talent on This Planet
- 01:08the US, I feel a lot of them could be
- 01:09kind of pursuing an entrepreneurial path
- 01:10because their future is so set. And for
- 01:12me, it was really obvious to see given
- 01:14my background. You know, obviously I was
- 01:14born in India and then my friends came
- 01:16to the UK. You know, they left behind a
- 01:18lot in India to kind of start over in
- 01:19the UK.
- 01:21I studied maths at university. I started
- 01:23thinking about what I wanted to do with
- 01:24my life towards the end of my time at
- 01:26Cambridge. We weren't very wealthy
- 01:28growing up and uh job in quantitative
- 01:30finance, quantum trading. It just paid a
- 01:32lot of money. I had an option to do a
- 01:34PhD as well, something more impactful,
- 01:36but like the money was too good to pass
- 01:37up. And after I left Cambridge 2020, I
- 01:40worked at a Dutch high frequency trading
- 01:41firm called Flow Traders for a year and
- 01:43then I got headunted to an American firm
- 01:45called Tower Research Capital where I
- 01:46worked for almost 3 years. When you work
- 01:48as a trader as a quant, first thing I do
How HFT Really Makes Money
- 01:50when I get in, you know, not even when I
- 01:52get in, when I wake up, I have my work
- 01:53laptop. I check how much money we've
- 01:55made. In quan, everything is data driven
- 01:57and you're not doing trading by talking
- 01:59to people. You're just looking at data
- 02:00and you're trading from data. People ask
- 02:02me for like a real world analogy. I
- 02:04often say it's like running a car
- 02:05dealership. Somebody runs a car
- 02:06dealership. You can sell your car to
- 02:08them. You can buy a car from them and
- 02:09their job is basically to kind of have
- 02:10an inventory of cars ready to sell. And
- 02:13they buy cars at a little slightly lower
- 02:15price and sell cars at a slightly higher
- 02:16price. And the reason Quant Finance is
- 02:19able to make so much money is because so
- 02:20much volume trades in the markets. You
- 02:22know, the S&P 500 future on CME, that's
- 02:24one future, one product, trades $500
- 02:26billion a day. That's like more than the
- 02:28GDP of any country. But I think there's
- 02:31a lot of cognitive dissonance amongst
- 02:33quants and traders that they've kind of
- 02:34convinced themselves because they're
- 02:35earning big fat paychecks and you know,
- 02:37I was earning big fat paychecks as well
- 02:38that hey, you know, we're making a lot
- 02:40of money. We must be doing something
- 02:41good for the world. High frequency
- 02:42trading is all about exploiting market
- 02:44inefficiencies like futures that expire
- 02:46for example. You know S&P futures expire
- 02:49every three months because that
- 02:50coincides with the time of the harvest
- 02:51for certain crops in the Midwest.
- 02:53There's no need for them to expire. If
- 02:54they expire, what happens is people have
- 02:57to sell the future, buy the next one.
- 02:58They pay transaction costs every time
- 03:00they trade and they lose money and high
- 03:02frequency traders make the other side of
- 03:03the money. No one in quant trading wakes
- 03:05up in the morning and they think, "Oh,
- 03:06how do I make the markets more efficient
- 03:08today? How do I lower cost of consumers
- 03:09every day?" People in trading just want
- 03:11to make money so they can earn big
- 03:12bonuses and I think Tower has really
The Golden Handcuffs of Big Paychecks
- 03:16really high quality of talent. So you
- 03:18know a lot of my colleagues were
- 03:19international math Olympiad medal
- 03:20winners. There's this entrance exam in
- 03:22India for like the top technical
- 03:24universities called it. A lot of them
- 03:25are ranked in kind of the top 50 in
- 03:26India when they they did this test.
- 03:28They're stuck in the same golden
- 03:29handcuffs. You know they're getting paid
- 03:31too much basically and they don't want
- 03:32to leave. Quant finance has sequestered
- 03:36a lot of very talented people in an
- 03:38industry that basically adds no value to
- 03:40the world and that was really the source
- 03:41of the guilt. I felt that I was wasting
- 03:43my life. Think carefully why you're
- 03:46doing it. Think about honestly is is
- 03:48this what you want to be doing in 5 7
- 03:49years time. Almost nobody I spoke to
- 03:53said they would still be in the job in 5
- 03:56years time. A lot of them were like 2 3
- 03:57years and I'll go do something else.
- 03:59Like you know they're still there. So,
- 04:00are they still there because they want
- 04:02to be there or are they still there
- 04:03because they failed to re-evaluate?
But You Need Money to Chase What Matters
- 04:09Towards the end of my time at tower, a
- 04:11bunch of things happened in life that
- 04:12kind of aligned that made me think that
- 04:14maybe I should leave this and and build
- 04:15a startup. FTX was a very profitable
- 04:17business. They were backed by Sequoia,
- 04:19very high valuation. I don't want to
- 04:21defend SPF and say, you know what, he
- 04:22did a good thing or the end justifies
- 04:24the means. I think what he did was
- 04:25clearly wrong. He does deserve to be in
- 04:26prison. But I think on the innovation
- 04:28side is a very successful company. A lot
- 04:30of the product that they made was
- 04:33actually really good. I think another
- 04:34really interesting thing is that FTX did
- 04:36try to go down the path of US licensing
- 04:40and US regulation. FTX purchased an
- 04:42exchange in the US. Interestingly, I'd
- 04:44already had the idea to do this
- 04:45exchange. what is now Q effect like
- 04:46about 6 months before I have like a
- 04:48burning desire to improve the markets
- 04:52because I've worked on the other side of
- 04:54the markets as a quant in high frequency
- 04:56trading and I thought if the aim really
- 04:58is to make markets more efficient why
- 05:00don't you just improve the nature of the
- 05:02market and improve the nature of the
- 05:03design so that high frequency trading
- 05:05firms don't make all this money which
- 05:06they're just extracting from investors
- 05:08and the market just becomes fairer that
Leaving a Top Hedge Fund Job
- 05:10way towards the end of 2024 early 2025 I
- 05:13kind of pitched this idea to my
- 05:14co-founder one my best friends. We've
- 05:16known each other for a very long time. I
- 05:17guess like since we were 18 pretty much.
- 05:19Josh worked at Citadel, but on the
- 05:20engineering side, he didn't know
- 05:22anything about the exchange side of
- 05:23things, right? He just called me like,
- 05:24"Hey, I have this like crazy idea." I
- 05:27was like, you know, this is so obviously
- 05:28like a better market design that there
- 05:30no way it doesn't exist in 5 or 10 years
- 05:32time, right? And either the incumbents
- 05:34get their act together or we do it. He
- 05:37was like, "Yeah, like let's let's do
- 05:38it." He left his job at Citadel, which
- 05:40is one of the top hedge funds in the
- 05:42world. job was going pretty well and I
- 05:44had a lot of money saved up, I wouldn't
- 05:45be under any financial pressure. Once
- 05:47that side of the equation was solved for
- 05:48and I had some decent money in the bank,
- 05:50then I thought, okay, it's it's time to
- 05:51do something that, you know, I want to
- 05:53make my life's work. I left my job in
- 05:55February 2025. You know, I was really
- 05:58getting to the point where I was
- 05:59thinking, hey, you know, can anything
- 06:01really go wrong if I spend, you know, 2
- 06:023 4 5 years of my life, let's say, and
- 06:04and things don't don't really work out.
Build Something Worth Telling Your Grandkids
- 06:10You know, we applied for funding from Y
- 06:12Combinator. We applied. You know, Josh
- 06:15calls me and I'm like in Austria
- 06:16watching some opera show. He's like,
- 06:18"Oh, we got an interview. We got an
- 06:19interview. We have to come." I flew the
- 06:20same day back to London. They ask
- 06:22questions that really test whether
- 06:24you've got into the details of
- 06:25understanding where the problem lies and
- 06:28what the why now moment is like why is
- 06:31now the right time to build this idea.
- 06:34PG explain this to us. They don't think
- 06:36about things like what's the probability
- 06:37of this idea succeeding. They just want
- 06:38to know the probability is bigger than
- 06:40zero. Even if it's 1%, but it's a huge
- 06:41idea and you're a good team, they'll
- 06:43fund you. I'm aware that the company
- 06:45we're doing right now, right, it's
- 06:46either going to make me like $50 million
- 06:48or zero cuz like exchange is like it's
- 06:50not like a 10 mill business. Like it'
- 06:51never be a 10 million business. It's
- 06:53either zero or huge. And they said, "Is
- 06:54this a huge idea?" And these guys the
- 06:57right people to do it. The next day uh
- 06:59we got the offer and then we like okay
- 07:01and now that we have funding we can
- 07:02probably build it. But building in
- 07:04fintech is always tough because you
- 07:06can't launch something and if it breaks
- 07:07sorry to your customers, right? That's
- 07:09like a real breach of trust. The hardest
The Exchange Launch That Almost Broke Us
- 07:11day, it was during YC actually. We'd
- 07:14actually launched the exchange
- 07:16internally just to YC. We were kind of
- 07:18forced by our partners to launch early
- 07:20cuz they were like, "You need to do this
- 07:21otherwise you'll never get user
- 07:22feedback. Just just do it right right
- 07:24now." I like very jetlagged. So, I work
- 07:26with 3:00 a.m. My co-founder was there
- 07:28and he's like, "Oh man, the exchange has
- 07:29blown up." We looked at everyone's
- 07:31result like somebody was plus $1
- 07:32million, somebody was - $1 million. We
- 07:34like, "Oh man, we only gave them like
- 07:36$100 to play with. Like, how has this
- 07:37happened?" So we had to basically spend
- 07:39all day reconstructing what had
- 07:40happened, figuring out how much money
- 07:42everyone owed and how much they didn't
- 07:44owe, reimbursing some people. That was
- 07:46the first time we took a loss as a
- 07:47company. We we had to say, "Oh, we're
- 07:48sorry. It says that you're minus $100,
- 07:50but we don't think this is right. We'll
- 07:51just give you $100." Luckily, it was
- 07:53still small scale. It wasn't like a big
- 07:55loss for us. The issue was it really hit
- 07:57home how difficult it is to build a 24/7
- 08:00perfect fully available system that
- 08:03keeps track of if you run something
- 08:0424/7, like anything can go wrong
- 08:06anytime, right? lightning bolt can
- 08:07happen, fire in the data center,
- 08:09whatever. We didn't sleep properly for
- 08:10days after that cuz we were like, we
- 08:12don't want this to happen in life,
- 08:13right? Cuz if we do, it's game over for
- 08:15us in exchange. I think the reason the
- 08:16partners made us do it is to make
- 08:18basically make us grow up and realize
- 08:19the gravity of the situation we were in.
- 08:21That was a really tough time. Both the
- 08:23best days of our life and the worst days
- 08:24of our life. We were working all the
- 08:26time, like 100 hours a week, very
- 08:27focused, uh very frenetic.
Raising at a $95M Pre-Revenue Valuation
- 08:30You know, there's some misconceptions
- 08:31maybe about how fundraising happens in
- 08:34Silicon Valley. It's very quick. If the
- 08:35check size is less than 500K, typically
- 08:37it's a 30-minute meeting and you get the
- 08:40decision like on the call or just after.
- 08:42If it's kind of a bigger check, then we
- 08:44had a first meeting and then a second
- 08:45meeting in person which was, you know,
- 08:47both for 30 minutes, let's say roughly.
- 08:48And day one, we had a bunch of angels.
- 08:51We got some money and then we stopped
- 08:53taking angel money. Yeah. Then it was
- 08:54about the bigger funds. So, you know, we
- 08:56had two major funds. One was General
- 08:58Capitalist, one was next suspension
- 08:59partners round 95 million valuation. We
- 09:01weren't making any revenues. We were
- 09:02pre-revenue. The only point in raising
- 09:05venture money is if you can be massive,
- 09:06but you have to be at like the huge
- 09:08scale, then a VC will find it very hard
Silicon Valley vs London: A Different Money Mindset
- 09:10to say no. And I think you guys are
- 09:12based in San Francisco. What's very
- 09:14interesting for me kind of being in
- 09:15London for a while, now we're in New
- 09:17York. I think London, New York, people
- 09:18are very concerned with how much money
- 09:20someone has, how much money they make,
- 09:22how much money they have in their bank
- 09:23account, how much money they're going to
- 09:24make in the future. Everything's about
- 09:26money. San Francisco, people really, I
- 09:28think, don't talk about that as much or
- 09:29don't think about it as much. They're
- 09:30much more concerned with, you know,
- 09:32impact, that kind of thing. And it was
- 09:34really useful to live in San Francisco
- 09:35for like 4 months. HFT strategies don't
- 09:37lose money, right? Like you can't even
- 09:38lose money doing HFT. If you lose money
- 09:41on a particular day, you get like an
- 09:42email from your boss like what what the
- 09:43hell happened. Silicon Valley approach
- 09:45is like, you know, let's try and make
- 09:46something that's going to make a billion
- 09:47dollars in 5 years time, but don't even
- 09:48think about the money, right? It's like
What's Actually Broken in Traditional Markets
- 09:50not even on the scale, which is like a
- 09:52new way of thinking. That was a nice
- 09:54part of being in San Francisco. You what
- 09:56we wanted to do is make sure everyone
- 09:58trades on the same equal playing field,
- 09:59level terms. If you want to buy Tesla,
- 10:00Treasure trades on NASDAQ exchange, but
- 10:03the interface is through Robin Hood and
- 10:04there's another intermediary which is
- 10:05called a clearing house which basically
- 10:07does the risk management and settlement,
- 10:09right? It's that intermediation, three
- 10:11separate companies involved in doing one
- 10:13trade that should really just be done by
- 10:14one company that's as most efficient as
- 10:16possible. That's really what we're
- 10:17offering on QX. Our pricing is
- 10:19completely transparent, right? So, we
- 10:21don't make money from this like profit
- 10:23share agreement. We just make money from
- 10:25fees. Our fees are as low as possible.
- 10:26We actually give a lot of our fees back
- 10:27to users if you kind of refer your
- 10:29friends or whatever. It's similar to
- 10:30Stripe if you want like a direct
- 10:31comparison. Stripe really reduced the
- 10:33frictions when it comes to doing
- 10:34payments. We're reducing the frictions
- 10:36when it comes to trading. And so much
- 10:38money trades through financial markets
- 10:39and days in ways that people don't even
- 10:40understand that even if you make small
- 10:42improvements, they have massive
- 10:44downstream impact. I think the best
Advice to Young People in High-Paying Jobs
- 10:45founders always have that, you know,
- 10:46that the company they're working on is
- 10:48their life's work, right? Like they want
- 10:49it to be their legacy. It's more than
- 10:51just money for them. And I was ready to
- 10:53reach that stage where I was no longer
- 10:55just thinking about the money. You know,
- 10:57there's an element of me that's you
- 10:58doing the current company for the money,
- 10:59but there's also an element of, you
- 11:00know, we want to go out there and be the
- 11:02change in the world that we want to see.
- 11:03And here's a very obvious change that I
- 11:05see now that I think not a lot of other
- 11:06people can work on. Is this what you
- 11:08want to tell your kids that you spent
- 11:09your life doing? Do you think this job
- 11:10will still be around in 5 7 years time?
- 11:12If you're still a young person, you
- 11:14should be optimizing for learning and
- 11:15optimizing for growth, not optimizing
- 11:17for how much money you're making right
- 11:18now.