27-Year Investor Explains What You're Missing While Chasing AI | TELUS Global Ventures, Terry Doyle
Terry Doyle is a Managing Partner at TELUS Global Ventures with over 25 years of experience investing in technology companies. He's witnessed major tech cycles from the dot-com crash to the mobile revolution, giving him a unique perspective on market trends and investment timing.
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Intro
- 00:00But I've been investing and working in
- 00:02technology companies since 1999. I've
- 00:04seen a bunch of technologies come and
- 00:06go. I saw the first crash. I was working
- 00:09in the mobile phone industry when all of
- 00:11a sudden the world discovered mobile
- 00:13phones. What I think that does is it
- 00:15changes the lens under which you look at
- 00:17new technologies and new developments.
- 00:19When I was investing in 2022, I was not
- 00:22investing in what everybody else was
- 00:24investing in because I felt like we were
- 00:26going straight up the hype curve. You
- 00:28want to invest when nobody else is
- 00:29investing. And if everybody's investing
- 00:31in the same thing, you probably
- 00:32shouldn't be in there. You should
- 00:40wait. Hi, my name is Terry Doyle. I'm
- 00:43the managing partner of Telus Global
- 00:45Ventures. We're the corporate venturing
- 00:46arm of Telus, which is a Canadian
- 00:49headquartered global technology and
- 00:51services business. So, we have about 90
- 00:54companies in our portfolio. 60% of them
- 00:56have a commercial deal with Telus. Last
- 00:58year we did about $34 million of
- 01:01business with our portfolio
Why Beginners Outperform the Experts
- 01:07companies. Age is not a determination of
- 01:10intelligence. And in fact, some of the
- 01:13best founders I meet are great because
- 01:15they don't have preformed ideas.
- 01:18Sometimes you meet people and they've
- 01:20got lots of experience and because of
- 01:23that experience something that hasn't
- 01:25worked they sort of shut their minds off
- 01:27that doesn't work I can't do this I
- 01:29can't solve this problem this way
- 01:30whereas I think sometimes people who
- 01:32maybe don't have that experience they
- 01:34bring a very new perspective to solving
- 01:36a problem and say they don't make
- 01:38assumptions if you talk to people in in
- 01:40great companies like uh Google they
- 01:43spend a lot of time trying to prevent
- 01:45people from making those assumptions
- 01:48Your response to this question is X. Do
- 01:51you realize that there's two assumptions
- 01:52that are part of that? Why have you made
- 01:54those assumptions? Oh, that's always how
- 01:56it's always been. Removing that bias
- 01:58almost is where you get some real
- 02:00breakthroughs. We've invested in
- 02:02companies like Clinia, which has really
- 02:04developed an AIdriven optimized search
- 02:07for enterprise customers and that helps
- 02:10providers give better outcomes to
- 02:12patients. We knew we had a lot of data,
- 02:16but again, data is only as good as how
- 02:19it's presented, how it's accessed.
- 02:21Lineia has really changed the way we
- 02:23think about what we can do with that
- 02:25data and that business. It's changed how
- 02:28our customers think about their own
- 02:30data, but also how they they run their
- 02:32businesses. Creating that shift in the
- 02:34way we think and how our customers think
- 02:36was really one of the important outcomes
- 02:39that we got in making that investment.
Focus on Horizon 3, Not AI
- 02:47But I've been investing and working in
- 02:49technology companies since 1999. I've
- 02:52seen a bunch of technologies come and
- 02:54go. I saw the first dot crash when web
- 02:58van got hundreds of millions of dollars
- 03:00investment and then went bankrupt. You
- 03:01know, I was working in the mobile phone
- 03:03industry when all of a sudden the world
- 03:04discovered mobile phones. What I think
- 03:07that does is it changes the lens under
- 03:10which you look at new technologies and
- 03:12new developments.
- 03:142014 I was spending time with a whole
- 03:17bunch of some of the best people in the
- 03:20world in artificial intelligence. This
- 03:22is great. You know, it's going to be a
- 03:23good development. Maybe I won't be as
- 03:26excited about the changes in the
- 03:29marketplace as if I'd never seen those
- 03:32previous cycles. It means that when I
- 03:35was investing in 2022, I was not
- 03:38investing in what everybody else was
- 03:40investing in because I felt like we were
- 03:42going straight up the hype curve. You
- 03:44want to invest when nobody else is
- 03:46investing. And if everybody's investing
- 03:48in the same thing, you probably
- 03:49shouldn't be in there. You should wait.
- 03:51When a good investor is able to see a
- 03:54fundamental shift in society, you know,
- 03:56the consulting firm McKenzie has a
- 03:58language which is horizon 1, horizon 2,
- 04:01horizon 3. Horizon 1 is something that
- 04:03we can use now. It's getting to the
- 04:05beginning parts of the use of its life
- 04:08in as a technology. Horizon 3 is well
- 04:10into the future, very far away from
- 04:13being commercialized. More like
- 04:14fundamental science. We will sometimes
- 04:16want to make an investment in a Horizon
- 04:193 company and the business just doesn't
- 04:22see the opportunity for it. The area of
- 04:24quantum security is a good example of
- 04:26this. We know that at some point in the
- 04:28future quantum will change how people
- 04:30can they will create tools where people
- 04:33can do harm just as we start to see in
- 04:35AI. We've done some investing in quantum
- 04:38security and we're not quite at that
- 04:40point where we can use it. We have to
- 04:42make a an educated guess. Okay, we think
- 04:45this is going to be problem in the
- 04:46future. So we we should probably invest
- 04:49early and learn get we'll call it
- 04:51tuition value about how this particular
- 04:54space is evolving and as a result we'll
- 04:56wait five or 6 years before we have any
- 04:58commercial deal with the company. Being
- 05:00able to spot the large shifts make you
- 05:03better able to invest in the right
- 05:05things. I think if you jump at every new
- 05:09development I think you're probably
- 05:10going to have a hard time. You're
- 05:12probably going to make a lot of
- 05:13mistakes.
- 05:16You know, I talk to my team all the time
- 05:18about this idea that we will make
- 05:20mistakes. As soon as you say that, that
- 05:22changes the way people do things because
- 05:24they don't freeze up. They're not
- 05:25nervous about making a mistake. So, one,
- 05:28we're going to make mistakes. Most
- 05:29important thing is acknowledge that
- 05:31you've made a mistake. Second is fix the
- 05:33mistake as best you can. And third is
- 05:35obviously the most important thing.
- 05:37Don't make the same mistake twice. I
- 05:38think if you create that environment for
- 05:40people, they feel more comfortable. They
- 05:42explore options more. they don't freeze
- 05:45up and be conservative in how they
- 05:46think. And I think that's that's really
- 05:48our job. Our job is to take risk on
- 05:51behalf of the company and do that in a
- 05:53way which is sensible, but to push the
- 05:56company and to help get more technology
- 05:58into the hands of our customers to make
Stop Selling Your Idea
- 06:01their lives
- 06:06better. You'll hear many investors talk
- 06:09about are you investing in the
- 06:10individual or are you investing in the
- 06:12idea or the market. I think the
- 06:13individual is really the most
- 06:15determinative factor. Somebody's ability
- 06:17to solve problems and continue to work
- 06:21at problems even when they're not making
- 06:23headway is the sign of a good
- 06:25entrepreneur. There's a level of
- 06:27stubbornness there which really is
- 06:29important in taking on big problems.
- 06:32That problem solving mentality and that
- 06:34ability to continue to work even though
- 06:36there's no progress. I think that's one
- 06:39of the things that makes good founders.
- 06:41And so our job is to really find great
- 06:43founders who are solving significant
- 06:47problems. And if you find those people,
- 06:50generally you can usually find people
- 06:52who want to give them money to solve
- 06:54those problems. That's really what
- 06:55you're doing as an investor. You're
- 06:57finding money and you're finding smart
- 07:01people and you're bringing them
- 07:02together. Being a founder is a really
- 07:04hard job. It's an exceptionally hard job
- 07:07and you have to have that ability to
- 07:09wake up every day and want to take on
- 07:12and solve a difficult problem. And so I
- 07:14think the thing that I find rewarding is
- 07:17every time I work with a founder and I'm
- 07:19able to help them go that little bit
- 07:21farther on their journey, that's
- 07:23rewarding for me.